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Predict the winning probabilities of a single game

Here you can use an Elo-based calculation to predict the winning probailities for two given teams. The winning probabilities are based soley on the ratings of each team and do not take in to consideration home field.

The probabilities are computed with a base equal to the week number of the season (1-15) and a divisor of .4


where:
- P(A) = probability team A wins against team B
- rA = rating of team A
- rB = rating of team B
- week = week number of the season

The team ratings can be either biased (include data from the playoff committee) or be unbiased (purely using the computer rating of the team)


These probabilities are modeled from elo ratings, commonly used in competitive Chess





Show winning probabiliites of a specific game (enter your teams below)
vs.
Game played on week number
Use biased ratings