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Below are the current probabilities for each team to make the 12-team college football playoff
Data is based on games played to this point and future scheduling using a Monte-Carlo simulation of 1000 iterations.
The conference numbers indicate how many teams from that conference are expected to make the playoff. Updated 3 times each Saturday

1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% 3% 3% 4% 4% 5% 5% 6% 6% 6% 7% 7% 8% 9% 10% 10% 13% 13% 14% 14% 17% 17% 18% 19% 20% 21% 21% 22% 24% 26% 27% 33% 35% 40% 41% 41% 42% 43% 43% 43% 46% 52% 55% 61% 62% 75% 92% SEC: 3.34
B10: 3.45
B12: 1.27
ACC: 1.66
G5: 2.24