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Below are the current probabilities for each team to make the 12-team college football playoff
Data is based on games played to this point and future scheduling using a Monte-Carlo simulation of 1000 iterations.
The conference numbers indicate how many teams from that conference are expected to make the playoff. Updated 3 times each Saturday

1% 1% 2% 2% 5% 6% 8% 8% 11% 12% 12% 14% 16% 17% 19% 26% 27% 28% 30% 31% 44% 45% 54% 57% 79% 84% 85% 89% 93% 97% 99% 100% SEC: 3.76
B10: 2.66
B12: 1.57
ACC: 2.45
G5: 1.58