Below are the current probabilities for each team to make the 12-team college football playoff
Data is based on games played to this point and future scheduling using a Monte-Carlo simulation of 1000 iterations.
The conference numbers indicate how many teams from that conference are expected to make the playoff. Updated 3 times each Saturday
 1% |
 1% |
 5% |
 7% |
 10% |
 10% |
 13% |
 14% |
 15% |
 16% |
 18% |
 19% |
 20% |
 29% |
 40% |
 46% |
 53% |
 62% |
 62% |
 62% |
 68% |
 76% |
 88% |
 88% |
 89% |
 91% |
 94% |
 99% |
SEC: 4.07 | B10: 2.65 | B12: 2.59 | ACC: 1.13 | G5: 1.52 |