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Below are the current probabilities for each team to make the 12-team college football playoff
Data is based on games played to this point and future scheduling using a Monte-Carlo simulation of 1000 iterations.
The conference numbers indicate how many teams from that conference are expected to make the playoff. Updated 3 times each Saturday

2% 2% 3% 3% 4% 4% 4% 5% 5% 5% 6% 7% 7% 8% 9% 9% 9% 10% 11% 11% 11% 12% 12% 13% 14% 14% 15% 15% 16% 19% 20% 22% 22% 22% 24% 25% 25% 26% 26% 28% 28% 34% 34% 35% 35% 35% 37% 39% 39% 42% 44% 51% 55% 55% 59% 67% SEC: 3.30
B10: 3.46
B12: 1.80
ACC: 1.71
G5: 1.67